Oscars 2018: My Picks!

Hello fellow film lovers, the moment has arrived! Oscars 2018 are upon us and it is time for me to delve into the nominations and list my picks!

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Jimmy Kimmel is back as host this year. He did a good job last year, but it’s tough to compare him to Crystal or Hope.

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I did not get to see everything this year (I came damn close though). This is one of the best years for Oscar films in a long time. This is definitely one of the toughest Best Picture fields in a while. Several films have a legitimate shot at winning.

As for the Razzies, The Emoji Movie richly deserved every award it “won”. Pure shit. My apologies to Sir Patrick who no doubt took the role solely because they wanted him to voice a living pile of shit named poop. Who would say no to that? Certainly not I.

Let’s see the full nominee list for the good stuff:

My picks are in bold. This is who I think is going to win, not necessarily who I wish would win. If there is a difference between the two, I will make note of it. Once the results are revealed, I will make an update post to see how I did.

Best Picture:
“Call Me by Your Name”
“Darkest Hour”
“Get Out”
“Lady Bird”
Phantom Thread
“The Post”
“The Shape of Water”
“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”

This could realistically go to Get Out, Phantom Thread, Shape of Water, Three Billboards, or Lady Bird. My gut is telling me Shape of Water will win, but I keep getting tugged by Lady Bird and Get Out. I am sticking with the gut on this one and backing the Fishman Erotica which is also my favorite of the bunch. That film is goddamn beautiful. I am wishing I could see it again right now just thinking of it.

Lead Actor:
Timothée Chalamet, “Call Me by Your Name”
Daniel Day-Lewis, “Phantom Thread”
Daniel Kaluuya, “Get Out”
Gary Oldman, “Darkest Hour”
Denzel Washington, “Roman J. Israel, Esq.”

I think Oldman is going to win, but Day-Lewis is my favorite. His Woodcock was a terrific final role for the best actor of his generation. I’m going to miss him.

Lead Actress:
Sally Hawkins, “The Shape of Water”
Frances McDormand, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”
Margot Robbie, “I, Tonya”
Saoirse Ronan, “Lady Bird”
Meryl Streep, “The Post”

McDormand is the smart choice here, but Ronan, Robbie, and Hawkins are all excellent. Amazingly I think Streep is the weaker choice. Ronan elevated a wonderful script, and Robbie was a force of nature as Tonya. Both are winning an Oscar someday, but I don’t think it’s for these roles. My personal favorite is Sally Hawkins. She carried the entire film without saying a single word, aside from a fantasy song and dance sequence. THAT is acting. I’d be more than happy to pick wrong here.

Supporting Actor:
Willem Dafoe, “The Florida Project”
Woody Harrelson, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”
Richard Jenkins, “The Shape of Water”
Christopher Plummer, “All the Money in the World”
Sam Rockwell, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”

Sam Rockwell is winning for Three Billboards, but it should be Dafoe or Jenkins. It really should be. Jenkins turned in an amazing performance as an aging gay man in the 1960’s. Willem Dafoe was awesome as the motel manager/surrogate father figure for the kids of the film. So good. I really hope my pick is wrong here as well. 

Supporting Actress:
Mary J. Blige, “Mudbound”
Allison Janney, “I, Tonya”
Lesley Manville, “Phantom Thread”
Laurie Metcalf, “Lady Bird”
Octavia Spencer, “The Shape of Water”

Another impossible choice. Its going to be either Janney or Metcalf. Metcalf gave us a career best performance in Lady Bird, but Janney dominated every damn scene she was in. She was perfection in the role of Tonya’s mother so I am going with her.

“Dunkirk,” Christopher Nolan
“Get Out,” Jordan Peele
“Lady Bird,” Greta Gerwig
“Phantom Thread,” Paul Thomas Anderson
“The Shape of Water,” Guillermo del Toro

Gerwig would be a pleasant surprise for me, and a welcome one, but this is del Toro’s. I wouldn’t be surprised by a Jordan Peele win either.

Animated Feature:
“The Boss Baby,” Tom McGrath, Ramsey Ann Naito
“The Breadwinner,” Nora Twomey, Anthony Leo
“Coco,” Lee Unkrich, Darla K. Anderson
“Ferdinand,” Carlos Saldanha
“Loving Vincent,” Dorota Kobiela, Hugh Welchman, Sean Bobbitt, Ivan Mactaggart, Hugh Welchman

Pixar seems to always have this category locked, especially with this one which spoke to Latin American audiences, but my heart hopes for Loving Vincent.

Animated Short:
“Dear Basketball,” Glen Keane, Kobe Bryant
“Garden Party,” Victor Caire, Gabriel Grapperon
“Lou,” Dave Mullins, Dana Murray
“Negative Space,” Max Porter, Ru Kuwahata
“Revolting Rhymes,” Jakob Schuh, Jan Lachauer

Kobe’s got it. lol.

Adapted Screenplay:
“Call Me by Your Name,” James Ivory
“The Disaster Artist,” Scott Neustadter & Michael H. Weber
“Logan,” Scott Frank & James Mangold and Michael Green
“Molly’s Game,” Aaron Sorkin
“Mudbound,” Virgil Williams and Dee Rees

Mudbound is a possible spoiler here, but Call me by your name is the choice. I thought Disaster Artist was a great take on the book, but not good enough to win the prize. If Logan wins I will cry tears of happiness.

Original Screenplay:
“The Big Sick,” Emily V. Gordon & Kumail Nanjiani
“Get Out,” Jordan Peele
“Lady Bird,” Greta Gerwig
“The Shape of Water,” Guillermo del Toro, Vanessa Taylor
“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri,” Martin McDonagh

Three Billboards is the favorite here, especially as del Toro will win Director. Lady Bird has a shot though, as does Jordan Peele. This might be the consolation Oscar for Best Director losers.

“Blade Runner 2049,” Roger Deakins
“Darkest Hour,” Bruno Delbonnel
“Dunkirk,” Hoyte van Hoytema
“Mudbound,” Rachel Morrison
“The Shape of Water,” Dan Laustsen

Deakins, all day, every day. This was a fucking beautiful movie. This should be a Best Picture nominee.

Best Documentary Feature:
“Abacus: Small Enough to Jail,” Steve James, Mark Mitten, Julie Goldman
“Faces Places,” JR, Agnès Varda, Rosalie Varda
“Icarus,” Bryan Fogel, Dan Cogan
“Last Men in Aleppo,” Feras Fayyad, Kareem Abeed, Soren Steen Jepersen
“Strong Island,” Yance Ford, Joslyn Barnes

Icarus has generated some heat, but Last Men in Aleppo has a shot.

Best Documentary Short Subject:
“Edith+Eddie,” Laura Checkoway, Thomas Lee Wright
“Heaven is a Traffic Jam on the 405,” Frank Stiefel
“Heroin(e),” Elaine McMillion Sheldon, Kerrin Sheldon
“Knife Skills,” Thomas Lennon
“Traffic Stop,” Kate Davis, David Heilbroner

Best Live Action Short Film:
“DeKalb Elementary,” Reed Van Dyk
“The Eleven O’Clock,” Derin Seale, Josh Lawson
“My Nephew Emmett,” Kevin Wilson, Jr.
“The Silent Child,” Chris Overton, Rachel Shenton
“Watu Wote/All of Us,” Katja Benrath, Tobias Rosen

Best Foreign Language Film:
“A Fantastic Woman” (Chile)
“The Insult” (Lebanon)
“Loveless” (Russia)
“On Body and Soul (Hungary)
“The Square” (Sweden)

Everyone is going with A fantastic woman or The insult to win this, but I have to go against the grain and choose the Palm D’Or winner. This one spoke to me.

Film Editing:
“Baby Driver,” Jonathan Amos, Paul Machliss
“Dunkirk,” Lee Smith
“I, Tonya,” Tatiana S. Riegel
“The Shape of Water,” Sidney Wolinsky
“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri,” Jon Gregory

Dunkirk, absolutely.

Sound Editing:
“Baby Driver,” Julian Slater
“Blade Runner 2049,” Mark Mangini, Theo Green
“Dunkirk,” Alex Gibson, Richard King
“The Shape of Water,” Nathan Robitaille, Nelson Ferreira
“Star Wars: The Last Jedi,” Ren Klyce, Matthew Wood

I’ve met Matthew Wood, and love the guy, but Dunkirk again.

Sound Mixing:
“Baby Driver,” Mary H. Ellis, Julian Slater, Tim Cavagin
“Blade Runner 2049,” Mac Ruth, Ron Bartlett, Doug Hephill
“Dunkirk,” Mark Weingarten, Gregg Landaker, Gary A. Rizzo
“The Shape of Water,” Glen Gauthier, Christian Cooke, Brad Zoern
“Star Wars: The Last Jedi,” Stuart Wilson, Ren Klyce, David Parker, Michael Semanick

Again, Dunkirk. The editing and mixing made this film. 

Production Design:
“Beauty and the Beast,” Sarah Greenwood; Katie Spencer
“Blade Runner 2049,” Dennis Gassner, Alessandra Querzola
“Darkest Hour,” Sarah Greenwood, Katie Spencer
“Dunkirk,” Nathan Crowley, Gary Fettis
“The Shape of Water,” Paul D. Austerberry, Jeffrey A. Melvin, Shane Vieau

Blade Runner. Astonishingly well designed. 

Original Score:
“Dunkirk,” Hans Zimmer
“Phantom Thread,” Jonny Greenwood
“The Shape of Water,” Alexandre Desplat
“Star Wars: The Last Jedi,” John Williams
“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri,” Carter Burwell

My winner here was Phantom Thread until I saw Shape of Water. The music perfectly fit the film, but I’d be happy to see Greenwood win.

Original Song:
“Mighty River” from “Mudbound,” Mary J. Blige
“Mystery of Love” from “Call Me by Your Name,” Sufjan Stevens
“Remember Me” from “Coco,” Kristen Anderson-Lopez, Robert Lopez
“Stand Up for Something” from “Marshall,” Diane Warren, Common
“This Is Me” from “The Greatest Showman,” Benj Pasek, Justin Paul

This is me. Absolutely. All of the songs in that film are winners. I am surprised “A Million Dreams” did not make the cut here.

Makeup and Hair:
“Darkest Hour,” Kazuhiro Tsuji, David Malinowski, Lucy Sibbick
“Victoria and Abdul,” Daniel Phillips and Lou Sheppard
“Wonder,” Arjen Tuiten

Oldman was transformed as Churchill. This goes to Darkest Hour. How Shape of Water was not even nominated is beyond me though. Doug Jones’ creature design was excellent.

Costume Design:
“Beauty and the Beast,” Jacqueline Durran
“Darkest Hour,” Jacqueline Durran
“Phantom Thread,” Mark Bridges
“The Shape of Water,” Luis Sequeira
“Victoria and Abdul,” Consolata Boyle

The film is a love letter to dressmakers. This is a lock.

Visual Effects:
“Blade Runner 2049,” John Nelson, Paul Lambert, Richard R. Hoover, Gerd Nefzer
“Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2,” Christopher Townsend, Guy Williams, Jonathan Fawkner, Dan Sudick
“Kong: Skull Island,” Stephen Rosenbaum, Jeff White, Scott Benza, Mike Meinardus
“Star Wars: The Last Jedi,”  Ben Morris, Mike Mulholland, Chris Corbould, Neal Scanlan
“War for the Planet of the Apes,” Joe Letteri, Dan Lemmon, Daniel Barrett, Joel Whist

It should be War for the Planet of the Apes. It should have been for Dawn of the Planet of the Apes. It should have been for Rise of the Planet of the Apes. Blade Runner was excellent though, so I except a three-peat for the Apes.

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